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Long term risk management

Research findings overview

All swans are black in the dark: without 'long term risk analysis' all financial risks that are not likely to materialize on the short term are categorized as inevitable 'black swans'. The financial sector currently operates at high speed, with low beams.on a road increasingly paved with uncertainty (AI/automation revolution, climate change, geopolitical changes, etc.)


Since 2015,, 2° Investing Initiative's research has focused its research on documenting the short term focus (1 to 3 years) of risk analysis: in equity research, credit rating, corporate disclosure, active equity management, passive equity management, regulatory stress tests, etc.


The next step is to implement solutions. Climate scenario analysis, tested with hundreds of investors, banks and financial supervisors is a foot in the door. Beyond, the research findings have triggered the decision by the European Commission to develop policy responses (Sustainable Finance action plan).


But most concrete solutions remain to be invented and implemented: this is currently the focus of 2° Investing Initiative program on the topic and its peer Focusing Capital on the Long Term. 

2° Investing Initiative's papers on the topic

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More papers on the topic by 2° Investing Initiative

Climate stress test

The Bigger Picture: the impact of AI, automation...

Financial Supervision Beyond the Business Cycle

Methodological framework for financial supervisors

Download (35 pages)

Financial Supervision Beyond the Business Cycle

The Bigger Picture: the impact of AI, automation...

Financial Supervision Beyond the Business Cycle

Conceptual framework for financial supervisors

Download (30 pages)

The Bigger Picture: the impact of AI, automation...

The Bigger Picture: the impact of AI, automation...

The Bigger Picture: the impact of AI, automation...

 


Download (15 pages)

Corporate Rainy-Day fund

Carbon intensity ≠ carbon risk

The Bigger Picture: the impact of AI, automation...

Policy recommendation

Download (40 pages)

Alien invasion

Carbon intensity ≠ carbon risk

Carbon intensity ≠ carbon risk

Stress-testing approach for the next global crisis

Download (15 pages)

Carbon intensity ≠ carbon risk

Carbon intensity ≠ carbon risk

Carbon intensity ≠ carbon risk

 Carbon intensity is not a proxy for carbon risk assessment

Download (15 pages)

2° Investing Initiative's papers on climate risk

2017 Discussion of Climate litigation risks 70 pages (pdf)Download
2017 Transition Risk Scenarios data and models 25 pages (pdf)Download
2017 Feedback on TCFD draft recommendations 20 pages (pdf)Download
2017 Transition Risk scenarios for key sectors 75 pages (pdf)Download
2015 Carbon intensity as a (bad) risk metric15 pages (pdf)Download
2014 Review of carbon risk management practices 60 pages (pdf)Download
2013 Taxonomy of carbon risks for investors 10 pages (pdf)Download
2015 Carbon Asset Risk framework 45 pages (pdf)Download
2013 Review of portfolio carbon footprint methodologies (pdf)Download
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